Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.221862 0.255302 0.293074 0.339094 0.393913 0.457448 0.537127
2025-10-26 0.172584 0.216757 0.272165 0.347658 0.449223 0.583135 0.776439
2025-11-02 0.142427 0.190175 0.254695 0.350102 0.490812 0.695999 1.028064
2025-11-09 0.121704 0.170344 0.239990 0.349913 0.524654 0.801916 1.297327
2025-11-16 0.105962 0.154110 0.226413 0.346930 0.551181 0.900084 1.581556
2025-11-23 0.093288 0.140129 0.213369 0.341320 0.570693 0.989238 1.876347
2025-11-30 0.085986 0.133215 0.209995 0.350445 0.616674 1.136074 2.334511
2025-12-07 0.077329 0.122847 0.199239 0.344400 0.632760 1.228440 2.708960
2025-12-14 0.071307 0.116054 0.193508 0.346283 0.664246 1.360153 3.227962
2025-12-21 0.065882 0.109594 0.187410 0.346254 0.691496 1.489544 3.796768
2025-12-28 0.062349 0.106040 0.186073 0.355313 0.740161 1.682772 4.636610
2026-01-04 0.058855 0.102138 0.183524 0.361342 0.783182 1.874930 5.575614
2026-01-11 0.055544 0.098307 0.180805 0.366971 0.827751 2.089058 6.729060
2026-01-18 0.053044 0.095770 0.180376 0.377751 0.888312 2.371280 8.333002
2026-01-25 0.050053 0.091947 0.176816 0.380684 0.929198 2.610341 9.949553
2026-02-01 0.047101 0.087896 0.172277 0.380515 0.961698 2.835782 11.697145
2026-02-08 0.044194 0.083654 0.166832 0.377227 0.984664 3.038926 13.525013
2026-02-15 0.041354 0.079287 0.160624 0.371036 0.997713 3.213031 15.375056
2026-02-22 0.039921 0.077761 0.160632 0.381110 1.064043 3.619003 19.050239
2026-03-01 0.037492 0.073867 0.154763 0.374436 1.074834 3.808502 21.571017
2026-03-08 0.035817 0.071483 0.152189 0.376515 1.115912 4.147663 25.639336
2026-03-15 0.034148 0.068967 0.149036 0.376482 1.149989 4.474438 30.137009
2026-03-22 0.033160 0.067900 0.149298 0.386487 1.223541 5.030215 37.672302